AI Researchers Report 18% Likelihood of Extinction Scenario in 2024 Survey

VERA Brief

AI-generated. Grounded in the article and its cited sources.

A 2024 survey of over 1,500 AI researchers found an average 18 percent probability of an AI-driven extinction scenario. This concern is amplified by discussions from prominent figures in the field regarding existential AI risks.

Key facts

• A 2024 survey of over 1,500 AI researchers found an average 18 percent probability of an AI-driven extinction scenario.
• Concerns about existential AI risks have been voiced by figures such as Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon and OpenAI researcher Daniel Selsam.
• The reported probability of extinction scenarios from AI researchers has been increasing.
• The findings highlight ongoing debates within the AI community regarding the potential long-term implications of advanced AI development.
• The reported probabilities raise questions about the verifiable metrics and predictive capabilities of current AI safety assessments.